{"id":11257,"date":"2023-05-04T09:37:02","date_gmt":"2023-05-04T00:37:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.tradlinx.com\/blog\/?p=11257"},"modified":"2023-05-04T09:37:46","modified_gmt":"2023-05-04T00:37:46","slug":"%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ed%95%98%eb%8a%94-%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ec%a2%81%ec%95%84%ec%a7%80%eb%8a%94-%ec%a0%80%ec%9c%a0%ed%99%a9%ec%9c%a0vlsfo%ec%99%80-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9c%a0%ed%99%a9%ec%9c%a0hsfo%ec%9d%98","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tradlinx.com\/blog\/market-trend\/%ed%95%98%eb%9d%bd%ed%95%98%eb%8a%94-%ec%9c%a0%ea%b0%80-%ec%a2%81%ec%95%84%ec%a7%80%eb%8a%94-%ec%a0%80%ec%9c%a0%ed%99%a9%ec%9c%a0vlsfo%ec%99%80-%ea%b3%a0%ec%9c%a0%ed%99%a9%ec%9c%a0hsfo%ec%9d%98\/","title":{"rendered":"\ud558\ub77d\ud558\ub294 \uc720\uac00, \uc881\uc544\uc9c0\ub294 \uc800\uc720\ud669\uc720(VLSFO)\uc640 \uace0\uc720\ud669\uc720(HSFO)\uc758 \uac00\uaca9\ucc28\uac00 \ud574\uc6b4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 \uc601\ud5a5\uc740?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

\uc548\ub155\ud558\uc138\uc694. \uc624\ub298\ub3c4 \ubb3c\ub958\uc758 \ud45c\uc900\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5b4\ub098\uac00\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \ud2b8\ub808\ub4dc\ub9c1\uc2a4 \uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\ub09c\ud574 10\uc6d4, \uc0ac\uc6b0\ub514\uc544\ub77c\ube44\uc544\ub97c \ube44\ub86f\ud574 \uc774\ub77c\ud06c, \uc544\ub78d\uc5d0\ubbf8\ub808\uc774\ud2b8(UAE), \ucfe0\uc6e8\uc774\ud2b8 \ub4f1 \uc77c\ubd80 OPEC+ \ud68c\uc6d0\uad6d\uc740 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uac10\uc0b0\uc744 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud558\uace0 \uc6d0\uc720 \uc0dd\uc0b0\ub7c9\uc744 \uc904\uc5ec\ub098\uac00\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0 \uc138\uacc4 2\uc704 \uc6d0\uc720 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uad6d\uc778 \ub7ec\uc2dc\uc544 \uc5ed\uc2dc \uc7a5\uae30\uac04 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c0\ub294 \uc804\uc7c1\uc5d0 \ud729\uc2f8\uc5ec \uc788\uc8e0.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uadf8\ub7fc\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \uc720\uac00\ub294 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uacbd\uae30\uce68\uccb4 \uc6b0\ub824\uc640 \uc911\uad6d \uc218\uc694\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc6b0\ub824\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \uacc4\uc18d \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \uc6d0\uc720 \uc0dd\uc0b0\ub7c9\uacfc \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ub369\ub2ec\uc544 \uac10\uc18c\ud558\ub294 \uc774\uc0c1\ud55c \ud604\uc0c1\uc740 \ud574\uc0c1 \ubb3c\ub958 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc8fc\uac8c \ub420\uae4c\uc694?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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2021\ub144 \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub3cc\uc544\uc628 \ud574\uc0c1 \uc5f0\ub8cc \uac00\uaca9<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
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\uc9c0\ub09c 2020\ub144 1\uc6d4 1\uc77c, \uad6d\uc81c\ud574\uc0ac\uae30\uad6c(IMO)\uc758 \ud658\uacbd \uaddc\uc815\uc774 \uc2dc\ud589\ub41c \uc774\ud6c4 \ub300\ubd80\ubd84\uc758 \uc0c1\uc5c5\uc6a9 \uc120\ubc15\uc740 \ud669 \ud568\ub7c9\uc774 0.5%\uc778 \uc800\uc720\ud669\uc720(VLSFO)\ub97c \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ub2e8, \ubc30\uae30\uac00\uc2a4 \uc2a4\ud06c\ub7ec\ubc84\uac00 \uc7a5\ucc29\ub41c \uc120\ubc15\uc740 \uc608\uc678\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc120\ubc15\uc740 \ud669 \ud568\ub7c9\uc774 3.5% \uc774\ub0b4\uc778 \uace0\uc720\ud669\uc720(HSFO)\ub97c \uacc4\uc18d \uc774\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc8e0.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\ub09c \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \ud574\uc6b4\uc804\ubb38\ub9e4\uccb4 Ship & Bunker\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc0c1\uc704 20 \uac1c \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ubc99\ucee4 \ud5c8\ube0c\uc758 \uc800\uc720\ud669\uc720(VLSFO)\uc758 \ud3c9\uade0 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ud1a4\ub2f9 593.50\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub7ec-\uc6b0 \uc804\uc7c1\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub358 2022\ub144 6\uc6d4\uc758 \uc57d \uc808\ubc18 \uc218\uc900\uc774\uba70 2021\ub144 12\uc6d4 \uac00\uaca9\uacfc \ube44\uc2b7\ud55c \uc218\uc900\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uace0\uc720\ud669\uc720(HSFO)\uc758 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \ud1a4\ub2f9 496.50\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc600\ub294\ub370\uc694, \uc774\ub294 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub358 \uc9c0\ub09c 2022\ub144 5\uc6d4 \ub300\ube44 35% \ud558\ub77d\ud55c \uc218\uce58\uc774\uba70, 2021\ub144 9\uc6d4\uacfc \ube44\uc2b7\ud55c \uc218\uc900\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\ud1a4\ub2f9 100\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc774\ud558\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uc800\uc720\ud669\uc720 – \uace0\uc720\ud669\uc720 \uac00\uaca9\ucc28<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
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\uc0ac\uc2e4 \uc800\uc720\ud669\uc720\uc640 \uace0\uc720\ud669\uc720\uc758 \uac00\uaca9\ucc28\uc774\ub294 \uadf8\ub3d9\uc548 \uafb8\uc900\ud788 \uc881\uc544\uc838\uc654\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\ub09c 3\uac1c\uc6d4 \ub3d9\uc548 \ub450 \uc5f0\ub8cc\uc758 \uac00\uaca9\ucc28\uc774\ub294 60%\ub098 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ucd5c\uadfc \uc800\uc720\ud669\uc720 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \uac00\ud30c\ub974\uac8c \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uba74\uc11c \uc800\uc720\ud669\uc720\uc640 \uace0\uc720\ud669\uc720\uc758 \uac00\uaca9 \ucc28\uc774\ub294 100\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc774\ud558\ub85c \ud06c\uac8c \uc881\ud600\uc84c\uc8e0.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\ub09c \uc6d4\uc694\uc77c \uc800\uc720\ud669\uc720\uc640 \uace0\uc720\ud669\uc720\uc758 \uac00\uaca9 \ucc28\uc774\ub294 \ud1a4\ub2f9 97\ub2ec\ub7ec\ub85c \ub9c8\uac10\ud588\ub294\ub370\uc694, \uc774\ub294 \uc0ac\uc0c1 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub97c \ub2ec\uc131\ud588\ub358 2022\ub144 7\uc6d4\uc758 4\ubd84\uc758 1\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubbf8\uce58\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud558\ub294 \uc218\uce58\uc774\uba70, 2021\ub144 10\uc6d4\uacfc \ube44\uc2b7\ud55c \uc218\uc900\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\uc790, \uadf8\ub807\ub2e4\uba74 \uc800\uc720\ud669\uc720\uc640 \uace0\uc720\ud669\uc720\uc758 \uac00\uaca9\ucc28\uc774\uac00 \uc881\uc544\uc9c0\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ud574\uc6b4 \ubb3c\ub958 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0 \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce58\uac8c \ub420\uae4c\uc694?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\ubc14\ub85c \uc2a4\ud06c\ub7ec\ubc84\ub97c \uc124\uce58\ud55c \ud574\uc6b4\uc0ac\ub4e4\uc758 \uc774\uc775\uc774 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e4\uac8c \ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc77c\ubc18\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc800\uc720\ud669\uc720\ub294 \uace0\uc720\ud669\uc720\uc640 \ube44\uad50\ud574 \uc815\uc81c \uacfc\uc815\uc744 \ud55c \ub2e8\uacc4 \ub354 \uac70\uce58\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \ub2e8\uac00\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \ud3b8\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0 \uc815\uc720\ud669\uc720\ub294 \uc120\ubc15\ubfd0 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \uc790\ub3d9\ucc28 \uc5f0\ub8cc\ub098 \ubc1c\uc804\uc6a9 \uc5f0\ub8cc\ub85c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc \uace0\uc720\ud669\uc720\ub294 \uc120\ubc15\uc720\uc758 \ud65c\uc6a9\uc131\uc744 \uc81c\uc678\ud558\uace0\ub294 \uc4f0\uc784\uc0c8\uac00 \uc5c6\uc8e0. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ub450 \uc5f0\ub8cc\uc758 \uac00\uaca9 \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \ubc8c\uc5b4\uc9c0\uba74 \ubc8c\uc5b4\uc9c8\uc218\ub85d \uc2a4\ud06c\ub7ec\ubc84 \uc7a5\ucc29\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uace0\uc720\ud669\uc720\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc120\ubc15\uc758 \uacbd\uc7c1\ub825\uc740 \ub192\uc544\uc9c0\uac8c \ub429\ub2c8\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c \ub450 \uc5f0\ub8cc\uc758 \uac00\uaca9\ucc28\uac00 \uc881\uc544\uc9c0\uba74 \uadf8\ub9cc\ud07c \uc2a4\ud06c\ub7ec\ubc84 \uc7a5\ucc29\ud55c \uc120\ubc15\uc758 \uacbd\uc7c1\ub825\uc740 \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218\ubc16\uc5d0 \uc5c6\uc8e0.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc9c0\ub09c\uc8fc, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ud574\uc591\ubd80\ubb38 \uc804\ubb38 \ud22c\uc790\uae30\uad00\uc778 \ud074\ub77d\uc2a8 \uc99d\uad8c(Clarksons Securities)\uc740 \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \uc120\uc885\uc744 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c, \uc2a4\ud06c\ub7ec\ubc84\uac00 \uc2a4\ud31f \uc6b4\uc784\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 \ud6a8\uacfc\ub97c \uacc4\uc0b0\ud558\uc5ec \ubc1c\ud45c\ud588\ub294\ub370\uc694,<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uadf8 \uacb0\uacfc \uc9c0\ub09c 28\uc77c(\ud604\uc9c0\uc2dc\uac04) \uae30\uc900, \uc2a4\ud06c\ub7ec\ubc84\uac00 \uc7a5\ucc29\ub41c \ucd08\ub300\ud615 \uc6d0\uc720\uc6b4\ubc18\uc120(VLCC)\uc774 \uc2a4\ud06c\ub7ec\ubc84\uac00 \uc5c6\ub294 \uc6d0\uc720 \uc6b4\ubc18\uc120\uc5d0 \ube44\ud574 \ud558\ub8e8 6,000\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \ud504\ub9ac\ubbf8\uc5c4\uc744 \ubc1b\uc740 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ucd94\uc815\ud588\uace0, \ucf00\uc774\ud504 \uc0ac\uc774\uc988 (Cape size)\uc758 \ubc8c\ud06c\uc120\uc758 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc2a4\ud06c\ub7ec\ubc84\ub97c \uc7a5\ucc29\ud55c \uc120\ubc15\uc774 \uc7a5\ucc29\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc740 \uc120\ubc15\uc5d0 \ube44\ud574 \ud558\ub8e8 4,200\ub2ec\ub7ec \ub354 \ub9ce\uc740 \uc218\uc775\uc744 \uc62c\ub9b0 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ucd94\uc815\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\uc800\uc720\ud669\uc720\uc640 \uace0\uc720\ud669\uc720 \uac00\uaca9\ucc28 $100~$250 \uc218\uc900\uc774 \ub420 \uac83<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
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\uadf8\ub807\ub2e4\uba74 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \uc800\uc720\ud669\uc720\uc640 \uace0\uc720\ud669\uc720\uc758 \uac00\uaca9\ucc28\ub294 \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \ub420\uae4c\uc694?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc2a4\ud06c\ub7ec\ubc84\uc5d0 \ub9c9\ub300\ud55c \ud22c\uc790\ub97c \ud55c \ud574\uc6b4\uc0ac \uc911 \ud558\ub098 \uc720\uc870\uc120 \uc6b4\uc1a1 \ud68c\uc0ac \uc2a4\ucf5c\ud53c\uc624 \ud0f1\ucee4\uc2a4(Scorpio Tankers)\uc758 \uae30\uc5c5 \uac1c\ubc1c \ucc45\uc784\uc790 \uc81c\uc784\uc2a4 \ub3c4\uc77c(James Doyle)\uc740 \uc9c0\ub09c \ud654\uc694\uc77c \ucee8\ud37c\ub7f0\uc2a4 \ucf5c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc9c0\uae08 \uc800\uc720\ud669\uc720 \uac00\uaca9\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc555\ub825\uc740 (\ud718\ubc1c\uc720\uc640 \ub514\uc824\uc744 \ud3ec\ud568\ud55c) \uc99d\ub958\uc720\uc758 \uac00\uaca9\uc774 \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\u201d\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ubc1d\ud614\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c 2\uc77c(\ud604\uc9c0\uc2dc\uac04) \ub274\uc695\uc0c1\uc5c5\uac70\ub798\uc18c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc11c\ubd80\ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc0b0 \uc6d0\uc720(WTI) 6\uc6d4 \ubb3c \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uc804\uc7a5\ubcf4\ub2e4 4\ub2ec\ub7ec(5.29%) \ud558\ub77d\ud55c \ubc30\ub7f4\ub2f9 71.66\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0 \uac70\ub798\ub97c \ub9c8\ucce4\ub294\ub370\uc694, \uc774\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c 3\uc6d4 24\uc77c \uc774\ud6c4 \uc57d 5\uc8fc \ub9cc\uc758 \ucd5c\uc800\uce58\uc774\uba70, \uc77c\uc77c \ud558\ub77d\ub960 \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c 1\uc6d4 \ucd08 \ub300\ube44 \ucd5c\uc545\uc758 \uc218\uce58\uc785\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uadf8\ub7ec\uba74\uc11c \uadf8\ub294 \u201c\ub450 \uc5f0\ub8cc\uc758 \uac00\uaca9\ucc28\ub294 100\ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\uc11c 250\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc218\uc900\uc774 \ub420 \uac83\u201d\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uc804\ub9dd\ud588\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\"40\ub9cc\"<\/a><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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